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The Weekly Globe


/ 8 Sep 2020

The Weekly Globe

‘CCC’ Rated Bonds Signal Rising Pressure for US HY Default Rate. Two good indicators to potentially track the general direction of the US HY default cycle are the default rate in the ‘CCC’ rated segment and the overall US HY distress ratio, or simply put, the percentage of bonds trading above 1,000 bps. These two indicators tend to be more sensitive to credit stress that the overall US HY default rate, generally identifying changing trends slightly earlier.

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